Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.001667 0.001762 0.001859 0.001967 0.002084 0.002206 0.002344
2025-05-25 0.001495 0.001626 0.001767 0.001928 0.002111 0.002310 0.002546
2025-06-01 0.001383 0.001538 0.001707 0.001909 0.002145 0.002411 0.002739
2025-06-08 0.001314 0.001486 0.001681 0.001919 0.002203 0.002536 0.002959
2025-06-15 0.001243 0.001427 0.001639 0.001903 0.002226 0.002614 0.003122
2025-06-22 0.001188 0.001381 0.001608 0.001895 0.002256 0.002699 0.003294
2025-06-29 0.001134 0.001333 0.001570 0.001876 0.002268 0.002758 0.003433
2025-07-06 0.001085 0.001288 0.001533 0.001854 0.002271 0.002805 0.003557
2025-07-13 0.001028 0.001231 0.001478 0.001806 0.002239 0.002802 0.003609
2025-07-20 0.001001 0.001209 0.001466 0.001812 0.002275 0.002890 0.003791
2025-07-27 0.000979 0.001192 0.001458 0.001823 0.002319 0.002988 0.003991
2025-08-03 0.000966 0.001187 0.001466 0.001853 0.002388 0.003124 0.004253
2025-08-10 0.000939 0.001163 0.001450 0.001854 0.002422 0.003217 0.004466
2025-08-17 0.000901 0.001125 0.001414 0.001826 0.002412 0.003249 0.004589
2025-08-24 0.000871 0.001095 0.001388 0.001810 0.002420 0.003305 0.004753
2025-08-31 0.000852 0.001080 0.001381 0.001819 0.002463 0.003415 0.005010
2025-09-07 0.000826 0.001054 0.001357 0.001804 0.002470 0.003469 0.005178
2025-09-14 0.000805 0.001033 0.001340 0.001797 0.002488 0.003541 0.005381
2025-09-21 0.000781 0.001008 0.001316 0.001780 0.002488 0.003584 0.005535
2025-09-28 0.000757 0.000983 0.001291 0.001759 0.002482 0.003616 0.005672
2025-10-05 0.000728 0.000948 0.001251 0.001714 0.002436 0.003581 0.005687
2025-10-12 0.000715 0.000937 0.001244 0.001719 0.002469 0.003677 0.005945
2025-10-19 0.000704 0.000928 0.001241 0.001730 0.002511 0.003789 0.006242